Thursday

Why Your Stockbroker Doesn't Like Cash

The way the brokerage business is set up now is not necessarily great for the individual investor.  

The reason is the way stockbrokers, financial advisors, etc get paid.  Unfortunately, the way it works now is that your financial guy gets paid in two ways;
  • buying and selling in your account (commissions)
  • as a percentage of your total assets (fees)
Neither is good for you, let me explain.

If you go the commission route, to be sure, there is a conflict of interest.  You can never be sure that when you get a call to buy or sell or move investments that it's in your best interest!

If you go the fee route (which is increasingly common), then your financial guy gets paid a percentage (usually 1-2%) of your invested assets.  That is a huge problem which is very under reported.  Bottom line is that your money has to be invested for him to collect a fee.  Now you know why your stockbroker doesn't like cash.  Do you think he'll ever call you to say its time to be conservative and go to cash?

So if you have ever wondered why you don't get a call to go to cash when times are tough, 2007 for example, now you know.  It is simply not in your financial guys best interest for you to be in cash!

Monday

2013 Brokerage Firm Stock Market Targets

So here are the 2013 S&P targets from the biggest banks and brokerage firms.  Lets see how this works out.

Somebody has to be right given the extreme ranges from 1390 (1% loss) all the way to 1615 (14% gain).

Problem is that your stockbroker or financial advisor that works at one of these firms doesn't have to heed any of the advice given to them from the guys that make these targets, not that they should either.

Brokerage firms are smart, they promise nothing and deliver less.  Your financial guy can invest your money pretty much as he or she sees fit and this is great for the brokerage firm because it smoothes out the edges and the commissions and fees keep coming in!

Just remember that it costs money to have someone 'watch' your money.  And even 1% adds up over time.  You can and should invest by yourself and for yourself.

Wednesday

Barron's Perfect Timing Again

I have a copy of the current issue of Barron's which is a weekly financial newspaper published by Dow Jones.

Barron's has an uncanny nack for picking the worst possibly time to cover a story.

This issue's cover is about the best 25 dividend funds, REALLY?!?!

In past blogs here and at How The Investment Business REALLY Works and How Boomers Should Invest NOW, I have discussed how the infatuation with dividend stocks is getting dangerous.  I have said in the past that stock dividends are NOT a replacement for fixed income investments.  I have said that stockbrokers and financial advisors will blindly follow the lemmings over the cliff with your money!

So Barron's perfect timing strikes again (in my opinion) probably picking the top for dividend funds and dividend paying stocks with their cover and article.

Stay tuned and be sure to check out my newsletter, the INVESTING OPINION.

Thursday

Why Your Financial Guy Loves Selling Bonds

Don't get me wrong, bonds are a good investment and should be a part of most portfolios but there is a dirty little secret about bonds that investors do not know.

Your financial guy loves selling you bonds, why?

Because there is a hidden commission in bonds that you do not see.  It is called a concession and on every bond bought or sold, your financial guy gets paid but you don't see how much!

That is gold for a stockbroker, financial advisor, wealth manager, financial planner, whatever they want to be called today, because it doesn't appear to be churning.  

Recently, with interest rates decreasing which means prices increase on anything fixed (like a bond), you can be sure that your financial guy will be all to happy to sell your bond (that you bought only months ago) for a small profit for you AND A LARGE CONCESSION FOR HIM.

Ever wonder why you buy and sell bonds?  Now you know!

Ever wonder why brokerage firms earnings reports are filled with great news from bonds / fixed income?  Now you know!

PS.  Bonds may not necessarily be a good investment in 2013 and beyond since interest rates are likely to go sideways or higher which means anything fixed, like a bond, will decrease in value.

Wednesday

Just 11% Of Hedge Funds Beating S&P500

As you know from my blogs including this one and many books, I am not a fan of hedge funds.  To recap - you give trading authorization to someone so that they can gamble with your money.  If they win, they get 20% of the gains.  Wow.

According to Goldman's research to date, just 11% of hedge funds have beat the simple S&P 500.

To date, the S&P 500 is up just about 12% and the average hedge fund is up 4.6%.  I am not sure if that includes their hefty 20% fee for managing your money so wisely :(

To make matters worse, 20% of hedge funds are negative for the year and these are the geniuses that many pension funds trust their money to invest and do well.

Lastly their two biggest holdings are Google and Apple, while that's good, they are both winners, it's most likely they recently bought them and are not and have not been long term holders which doesn't bode well.

Thursday

What Is #1 For Stockbrokers?

Right now, securities firms don't have to put investors' interests first.  New regulations may change that—and Wall Street isn't happy.....

For those of you who have read my blog or book, this comes as no surprise but for those that haven't, I hope the title is a little shocking.  You can read the entire article here.  

Bottom line is that stockbrokers do not have to put their clients interests first, yes, you read that correctly and is why I have been pounding the table encouraging investors to learn how to invest for themselves.

Its actually quite easy and you'll know that the person who is handling your money is the person who cares about it the most, YOU!

Why Your Financial Guy Won't Sell Your Bonds

With current yields on bonds at record lows which translates to record high prices for bonds, you are probably wondering why not sell and take a profit?  Why your financial guy won't sell your bonds?

Let me tell you why.  Bottom line is that most stockbrokers or financial advisors get paid via fees and not commissions.  They get paid for money that is invested.  If they sell your bonds and go to cash, then they do not get paid at all.
the bond bubble of 2012 is about to burst!

Cash on your stockbrokers books is useless to them which is why you are arm twisted to be fully invested all the time, whether it is stocks or bonds or mutual funds.

Remember that in order to collect the wrap fee, you, the client, must be invested in something and cash does not count, after all, no one is stupid enough to pay a fee for someone to watch their cash!

Do yourself a favor and learn to invest for yourself and by yourself and put the person who cares the most about your money in charge of it - you.

You can start by selling your bonds for a profit now, sit on cash and wait for the bubble to burst and then you can buy your own bonds without the additional fees and commissions when they yielding something more reasonable.

Additionally, if you hold your individual bonds to maturity, the coming increasing interest rates will lower the price of your bond temporarily but you will get your principal back.  If you own bond funds, watch out, not only because the coming redemptions will cause the fund manager to sell bonds early but most bond funds use leverage which will magnify your losses.


Brokerage Firms Costing Investors Billions A Year

This is an article from the New York Times by Nathaniel Popper dated May 6, 2012 which just reiterates what I have always said.  Few people are on the side of the individual investor.  Its not uncommon for clients to never make money with an advisor before they move to the next one and this article points out just another reason.

The rules governing Wall Street generally force stockbrokers to seek out the best prices for clients who pay them to buy and sell shares.

In recent years, though, brokers have had another enticement that can pull them in a different direction: payments from stock exchanges in return for sending them business.
The practice has attracted criticism from several industry participants and former regulators who say the so-called rebates that the exchanges pay Wall Street firms could give those firms an incentive to profit at the expense of investors. Now a new study using industry data says that the rebates could be costing mutual funds, pension funds and ordinary investors as much as $5 billion a year.
The 75-page study, being released this week, was written by Woodbine Associates, a financial consulting firm that does business with players on all sides of the issue. Woodbine said the report was done independently, without support from industry participants.
Some financial firms criticized Woodbine’s calculations and said the cost to investors was overblown, but did not dispute that the potential for a conflict of interest exists.
The study estimates that investors lost an average of four-tenths of a cent on each of the 1.37 trillion shares traded last year because of orders being sent to exchanges that were not offering the best final price. Stocks are sent to exchanges with inferior prices for reasons other than rebates, and the study’s tally includes those losses, but the authors say that the primary reasons for bad routing decisions are the rebates.


In one hypothetical situation, a mutual fund might ask its broker to buy one million shares of a major company. The broker sees that one exchange has a seller willing to part with the shares for $100 while another exchange has a seller offering $100.01 but is also offering the broker a tenth of a cent rebate per share. The mutual fund could end up paying $10,000 more than it needed to, while the broker would keep the $1,000 rebate.
The report puts a new spotlight on one of the most controversial practices that has sprung up as a growing number of exchanges have battled for the business of high-frequency traders and banks.
The losses to investors are usually gains for those high-speed trading firms and banks that factor the rebates into their automated trading strategies, and who seek out the trades of less speedy and informed traders.
In March, another financial consulting firm, Pragma, issued a report that drew attention to the conflict of interest created by rebates. Last fall, Jeffrey Sprecher, the head of the IntercontinentalExchange for futures and options, said at a conference that he would “have the regulators outlaw maker-taker pricing,” another name for the rebate system.
The most prominent criticism came in a 2010 report by two former chief economists at the Securities and Exchange Commission who said that “in other contexts, these payments would be recognized as illegal kickbacks.”
One of those economists, Chester Spatt, said that his group’s report initially generated conversation among regulators but was then overshadowed by the so-called flash crash of May 2010, in which stocks experienced a sudden and irrational plunge. The S.E.C. raised questions about the rebates offered by exchanges in a policy paper in 2010 but has not acted on it since.


Mr. Spatt said in an interview that the problem caused by rebates has not gone away and has most likely intensified as other sources of revenue for brokers have shrunk.
“Presumably many are acting in a self-interested fashion, and the self-interest leads to a lot of distortion,” said Mr. Spatt, who is now a professor at Carnegie Mellon. The report was sponsored by the trading firm Knight Capital.
Even before being officially published, the figures from Woodbine sparked a debate about the proper way to calculate whether clients were getting the best price in a given trade. According to Bill Conlin, the chief executive of the independent brokerage firm Abel Noser, the Woodbine report includes only one of the many costs that determine whether a broker’s client makes money, and that cost may not be the one that hurts investors most.
“There are little pennies here and there all along the line. They do add up,” Mr. Conlin said.
On the other side of the debate, high-speed trading firms say that the increased levels of trading promoted by the rebates lower overall transaction costs for investors. And exchanges say the rebates are necessary to attract people who will make markets with ordinary investors, providing those investors with the ability to liquidate their holdings whenever they want.
“We believe it’s important to incent market makers to provide liquidity so that all traders can buy when they want to buy and sell when they want to sell,” said Randy Williams, a spokesman at BATS Exchange, one of the nation’s four large stock exchange companies.
The laws governing exchanges are meant to ensure that the rebates do not result in customers getting a worse price for their stocks. If an exchange has the best offer at a given moment, other exchanges have to send orders there.
But in today’s high-speed fragmented markets, there are several instances in which this rule does not protect investors. For instance, if a broker sends the first 100 shares of an order to the exchange with the best price, the broker can send the rest of the shares to another exchange where it will receive a larger rebate. Several academic studies have found that the cost of executing trades is at a record low. But Matt Samelson, the founder of Woodbine, said these calculations have not factored in the “hidden prices” that can be incurred when investors don’t get the best price.
When the New York Stock Exchange was the nation’s dominant one, it did not need to pay traders to use its floor. Both buyers and sellers would pay the exchange for the opportunity to execute a trade. In the 1990s, though, some upstart platforms for trading, like Island Exchange, wanted to attract buyers and sellers and began to offer payments for brokers who brought them orders to post on the Island platform. When other traders wanted to take the other side of those orders, they would pay Island, and Island would make the difference between the rebate and the payment it received.
The Big Board and Nasdaq initially resisted this model, but as they lost market share to competitors, they eventually adopted it.
Nasdaq paid out $306 million in rebates in the first quarter of this year, or nearly half of its revenue. That was a greater proportion than that paid by the New York Exchange. All 13 of the nation’s exchanges offer some sort of rebate program. Brokers can pass rebates along to their clients, but rarely do, according to industry participants.
The rules governing rebates are incredibly complex, ensuring that no one exchange has a regular edge. But the brokers are constantly tweaking their programs to ensure they are paying the lowest possible prices to execute customer trades, and receiving the maximum rebates.
Woodbine’s method of determining the cost of this to investors involves complex calculations of how frequently investors get the best price on each exchange.
Tim Christiansen, who manages stocks at Sawgrass Asset Management, said that the highly technical details involved in every trade made it hard to draw industrywide conclusions on investors’ costs. But in his own work, he has noticed that certain brokers have sent his orders to exchanges where he did not get the best price.
“In an ideal world, a router would simply look for the best execution,” Mr. Christiansen said.

Monday

Greg Smith Leaves Goldman Sachs

On the way out the door, former Goldman Sachs trader Greg Smith airs his feelings about his former firm on the opinion page of the New York Times here.

Its very interesting and to me personally, not one bit surprising.  I have been saying the same thing for years.  Calling clients 'muppets', 'joe six pack', 'pikers', there is nothing new here.

The only surprising thing about Greg Smith's admission is the reaction!

Tuesday

How Your Stockbroker (financial advisor) Gets Paid

Your stockbroker (financial advisor) gets paid in many ways but the four most common are discussed here in this short 14 minute audio clip.  Let me know what you think.  Visit Apple iTunes and listen to any episodes for free at http://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/howtheinvestmentbusinessreallyworks/id504639704.

Wednesday

Facebook IPO

It was announced today that Facebook will be offering shares to the 'public' in an initial public offering (IPO).

As is always the case with IPO's, if you can get your hands on it, you don't want it and vice versa.

The sad truth is that the regular investor will not get to participate in the 'free' upside that is most likely to happen on the first day of trading.

The shares will be distributed to friends, family and traders (as pay back) so they can 'flip' the shares in the first few minutes of trading for a virtually guaranteed return with almost no risk whatsoever.

I loved IPO's, hidden commissions, great concessions, paid back friends and associates with the winners and handed my clients the losers.

Sad to say, nothing has changed!

Monday

Options Are Your Stockbrokers Best Friend, Not Yours

Stockbrokers and financial advisers make their living off your assets.

Stockbrokers are continuously looking at the accounts they 'manage' for ways to create commission, they of course, would like to make you money as well but that is not #1.

Enter stock options, this is the stockbrokers commission gift that keeps on giving.

Options are a contract that allow you buy or sell a particular stock in the future at a particular price.  You can speculate with options (without owning the underlying stock) or you can take the other side of the trade by 'writing options' (when you own the underlying stock).

Statistics show that speculating with options is a fools game with very few participants making money.

Buying the stock and selling the call option strategy is supposed to create income with little risk and it does that but it does even more - for your financial guy!

What it also does and your stockbroker won't tell you is create a nice stream of income for the stockbroker, he makes commission when you buy the stock, sell the call and sell the stock (or write another option).

As always, be careful of your financial guys intentions.  Ask yourself, should I invest in stock options?  If he asks you to start 'investing' with options, watch out!

Saturday

Iraqi Dinar Revaluation Is Bogus

The rumors have hit a fever pitch lately.  I heard the other day from an 80 year old grandmother that she was buying Dinars to get rich.

REALLY?!

The scoop is that after the fall of Saddam's Iraq, the Dinar become mostly worthless.  George Bush said that the Iraqi war would pay for itself a hundred times over.  I believe he was speaking figuratively, not literally.  Some conspiracy theorists took and take that to mean that the US will profit when the Iraqi Dinar is revalued and supposedly, the US and China have a stockpile of notes.

And some people, you may call them investors or speculators, I wouldn't, think you should buy Dinars now hoping to profit along side the US and China.

There is no free lunch.  If you want to send your money to someone and hope that they send you actual Dinar notes and not forgeries and then hope again that somehow there is a revaluation and if there is, that somehow, it works in your favor, go ahead, I'd rather take a nice trip to Las Vegas with the money and at least get a comped meal out of the deal.

If you think this is a good idea, you should read my book.  Learning what not to do is just as important as learning what to do if you intend to make money investing.

Thursday

Dirty Stockbroker Trick

With 2011 behind us and looking now at 2012, some people will start to look at their portfolio to make some changes, maybe decide that they can invest for themselves.

As a stockbroker, the dirty trick that most use to keep clients on board is to compare results but we weren't comparing apples to apples.

Here is the trick and it would work excellently this year given the results of the stock market in 2011, here is what I mean.

In 2011, the S&P 500 lost under 1% but with dividends, it actually gained 2.1% so make sure that you know that when your financial advisor calls you to tell you that he made 1% and the 'market' lost money that you realize that he is not telling you the truth that you paid for nothing, that you could have done better by yourself by buying a simple index fund.

Same thing with the Dow Jones Industrial Average which gained 5.5% but with dividends 8.4%.  You get the point.

An educated investor is hard to fool and take advantage of, that's you!

Saturday

2011 Results - S&P 500 Loses Less Than 1%

2011 is now in the books and the S&P 500 lost less than 1%.

If you held some dividend paying stocks, ETF's and mutual funds (and you should have), you made a few percent in 2011.

Do yourself a favor, compare that with the results from your brokerage account to see if what you are paying your financial guy is worth it ?!

My guess is that it won't be.  You'll see that your account probably lost a few percent.  The difference?  Commissions, concessions, churning and fees.

Make the move in 2012 to handle your own account, its a lot easier than the investerati would have you believe and you'll be certain that the person who cares the most about your money is handling it - YOU !!

Thursday

How We Used To Sell Mutual Funds With a Load and Why

There are many types of mutual funds but in the end it comes down to no-load or load.  No load funds cost nothing to buy or sell.  Loaded funds are either front end loaded which cost you immediately to buy them (sometimes referred to as A shares) or back end loaded which have a surrender period up to five or so years (sometimes referred to as B shares).

We used to sell loaded mutual funds simply because they paid us the most.  We used to convince people to buy these products using smartly crafted literature from the mutual fund wholesaler which pointed out that their fund was the best over this period of time and therefore .... you get the picture.

Here's the scary part, after we would SELL you a mutual fund with a front end load of say 4-5%, we would then  put you in the rolodex to call back in a year or so to sell that mutual fund and buy another, this time a B share fund and tell you there was no cost to you.

This was technically true because you already paid 4-5% a year ago and probably forgot about it (if you ever knew in the first place) and now you bought the second mutual fund which has a back end load of another 4-5%.

We just made 9-10% commission on your money!

If anyone asks you to buy a mutual fund, get the symbol and check at yahoo finance or directly with the mutual fund company regarding the commission, if any, surrender charges, etc.

Remember, no one cares as much about your money as you do, invest by yourself and for yourself.

Monday

Scared of the stock market? Try dollar cost averaging!

The stock market is a scary place to invest your money these days, however there really isn't much of an alternative with fixed income paying almost nothing so what to do?

I suggest selling your stock mutual funds or etf's when you are feeling very uncomfortable or giddy with your investments and then jumping right back in via dollar cost averaging.

Dollar cost averaging is the process of buying on a regular basis or in increments so as to ideally get a good average price and dollar cost averaging works well with the volatility that we have been witnessing lately.

Sure you may miss out on some of a rally but you may miss out on some of the downturn too?!  This strategy is not for everyone and does entail some fees but bottom line is that it'll keep you in the stock market to some extent and keep some of your sanity as well.

Of course, if you have any questions, remember that I am a money coach and am happy to answer questions or concerns you may have.  Email me at scott@howtheinvestmentbusinessreallyworks.com.

Thursday

Investment Myth That More Risk = More Return

Some investment myths continue to persist no matter what the reality is and most investment myths are dangerous to your financial well being.

Here is an oldie but a goodie!

More risk = more return.  The notion that you need to take on more risk to get more risk just isn't true.  I know it sounds like it ought to be but it is not.  Over the last decade or so, bonds have outperformed stocks.  Obviously bonds have risk but certainly less than stocks yet they have outperformed.

Smaller cap stocks are always tauted as the answer to higher returns and indeed the data appears to bear that out however upon closer examination, you will see that only a handful of small cap stocks do extremely well and skew the averages.  The fact is that without buying companies like Google in the 90's, apple in the 80's and a few obscure biotech companies, the smaller caps have pretty much done as well as their larger cap counterparts. 

A little less than half of the returns that stocks provide investors are in the form of dividends again proving that you do not necessarily have to take on more risk to get good returns.

Tuesday

Bad Investments Cost More Than You Think

I had a client that put well over 100k into a chinchilla farm.  I had another client throw real money to buy Ostrich eggs and had a friend sink money into a 'B' movie and of course, I had many clients lose all their money buying into sure things on the pink sheets, OTC bulletin board, private placements and Canadian Venture Exchange.

The commonality is obviously stupidity but besides that, the real monitary cost is hard to measure.

Sure you can look at whatever your investment was and write it off versus gains in another year but its more than that, its what we call opportunity cost which is simply the next best alternative.

For example, say you sank $100,000 into one of the above investing disasters fifteen years ago.  You would have missed out on fifteen years of growth at 'X%'.  Assuming just a measily 2% would be $134,000 today.  At 10%, you'd be missing $417,000 today, not just your original 100k.

So when looking at investments, keep the lost opportunity cost in mind.

Remember that successful investing has as much to do with not losing money as making money.

Wednesday

Can You Avoid The Next Financial Bubble?

Financial bubbles are as old as finance itself.  Examples include 1860's railroads (when people bought land anywhere just hoping the expanding railroads would buy them out), early 1900's car companies (more than a thousand went bankrupt and a handful survive).  More recent examples include 1980's Japan, 1999 Internet, 2006 Housing and 2011 Gold?

The trick is to identify a bubble and not participate because while the idea of a fast buck is appealing, the downside is worse.

Remember the secret to making money in any market is not to lose money, your gains will come over time but losing is hard to overcome.

If I double my money this year and give back 50% nest year, I didn't get anywhere, took on alot of risk and all for nothing and likely missed out on a real opportunity (we call that opportunity cost).

Most bubbles take on the form of the chart you see here when normal assets take on a life of their own and become something you must own ONLY because it has to go higher, right?  wrong!

If you stick to a boring old investment strategy of adding to an index fund on a regular basis and putting any extra cash into paying down the mortgage (aside from six months of cash for emergencies) then you are likely to avoid all bubbles simply because you are disciplined and don't have silly cash around to participate.  Good for you.

As an aside, I am not a prognosticator but I am willing to say that gold is in the bear rally part of the chart there and has already seen its best days.